A question becomes a market
Every prediction market is a yes/no question with a real-world resolution date. Share prices reflect the collective probability traders assign to each outcome.
Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 before the end of April 2026?
How prices work: A Yes share costs $0.72 because traders collectively think there's a 72% chance Bitcoin hits $100K. A No share costs $0.28. Both sides always add up to $1.00 — that's the payout for a correct prediction.
Pick your position
Do you believe Bitcoin will hit $100K before April 30? The market says 72% chance. If you think it's higher — buy Yes. If you think it won't happen — buy No.
Finding the edge: If you believe Bitcoin's true probability is 85% — not the market's 72% — then Yes shares at $0.72 are underpriced. You're buying probability at a discount. That's how informed traders profit.
How much do you want to stake?
Enter your stake amount. Your shares, potential payout, and return update in real time.
Review & confirm
Here's your full trade summary. Once confirmed, your position is live and tradeable — you can sell at any time before resolution.
Exit early at any time: If your position moves in your favour before April 30, you can sell your shares at the updated price and lock in profit — no need to wait for resolution.
What happens at resolution?
On April 30, the market resolves. Here's exactly what each outcome means for your trade.